Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000200 0.000223 0.000247 0.000275 0.000307 0.000341 0.000383
2025-02-23 0.000157 0.000189 0.000227 0.000274 0.000333 0.000404 0.000497
2025-03-02 0.000133 0.000169 0.000214 0.000275 0.000357 0.000464 0.000614
2025-03-09 0.000115 0.000153 0.000203 0.000274 0.000375 0.000515 0.000726
2025-03-16 0.000098 0.000135 0.000186 0.000263 0.000376 0.000540 0.000803
2025-03-23 0.000089 0.000127 0.000180 0.000264 0.000394 0.000591 0.000925
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000123 0.000180 0.000273 0.000424 0.000665 0.001092
2025-04-06 0.000075 0.000113 0.000171 0.000267 0.000429 0.000697 0.001195
2025-04-13 0.000066 0.000102 0.000158 0.000254 0.000419 0.000703 0.001253
2025-04-20 0.000062 0.000098 0.000154 0.000255 0.000434 0.000753 0.001398
2025-04-27 0.000059 0.000095 0.000154 0.000261 0.000458 0.000823 0.001591
2025-05-04 0.000055 0.000090 0.000149 0.000258 0.000467 0.000865 0.001735
2025-05-11 0.000052 0.000087 0.000147 0.000262 0.000487 0.000934 0.001956
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000082 0.000142 0.000260 0.000498 0.000986 0.002149
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000079 0.000139 0.000260 0.000513 0.001051 0.002387
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000075 0.000135 0.000259 0.000525 0.001109 0.002620
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.000070 0.000127 0.000248 0.000514 0.001116 0.002725
2025-06-15 0.000037 0.000067 0.000125 0.000250 0.000531 0.001187 0.003016
2025-06-22 0.000036 0.000067 0.000126 0.000259 0.000566 0.001308 0.003468
2025-06-29 0.000033 0.000063 0.000121 0.000253 0.000565 0.001342 0.003681
2025-07-06 0.000031 0.000058 0.000113 0.000240 0.000547 0.001325 0.003741
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000056 0.000112 0.000241 0.000562 0.001401 0.004104
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000056 0.000112 0.000247 0.000589 0.001515 0.004620